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American government took over AIG, AIA faces new challenges of business expansion

Source:www.jfdaily.com     Author:Fang Yuan      Date:24 Sep,2008

Threatened with bankruptcy, American International Group, Inc. (AIG) was taken over by the US government at 85 billion dollars. This has influenced business development of its subsidiary AIA in various regions. The reporter saw in AIA Shanghai Office that, a few customers on business held  related information of ¡¯¡¯establishment of insurance protection fund company¡¯¡¯, and someone asked the loss after surrender to workers from time to time. With the move of circulating fund emergency of AIG, the surrender tide of AIA expanded from Singapore, HongKong to cities in mainland China like Shanghai and Shenzhen.

Business expansion becomeing a hot potato

Since 15 September, several insurance salesmen of AIA received calls from clients asking if they should keep policies of AIA in hand or surrender? Not until the Federal Reserve announced a 2-year mortgage revolving loan of 85 billion us dollars to AIA that the excitement of clients toned down. More and more of them chose to renew.

An agent of AIA Beijing said, hardly has one wave subsided when another rises. Clients¡¯ doubt for surrendering hadn¡¯t been cleared, then new business met with many obstacles. On one hand, unfamiliar clients learned reports about AIA, they refused directly the demands of door to door visit; one of the others, rivals of the same industry ¡®¡¯recommended¡¯¡¯ strongly AIA case when they expanded business, making more and more customers having psychological repellence against  AIA.
Professor Hao Yansu, head of insurance department of Central University of Finance and Economics, said, there was a crisis in parent company of AIG, so a certain amount of surrenders in AIA was not horrible. But the brand and credit of AIA was called into question by the public, which made it more difficult to do business, this was the biggest challenges facing by AIA. In 2008, AIA showed exhausted against the developing trend of the industry, which led to a big gap of premium with rivals. According to the statistics of CIRC, from January to July this year, the premium income of AIA was 451.2 million yuan, decreased by 4.7%; while at the same time, average increase of domestic life insurance reached 66.75%.

Bonus for customers become unknown

On 16 September, share of AIG was closed at 4.38 in New York securities market, decreased by 60%. At the same day, Standard And Poor's lowered AIG¡¯s credit rating by three classes, Fitch Ratings downgraded AIG¡¯s rating by two classes.
Professor Hao Yansu pointed out that the falling of credit ratings of financial organizations would affect its efficiency in doing financial activities. The Federal Reserve paid the mortgage loan of 85 billion US dollars, they got the right to sell assets of AIG at the same time. That is to say, AIA as the best asset, once sold, would be difficult to get a good price, then customers¡¯ bonus would also be affected.
A CMO of a joint venture of insurance said, if a large number of surrenders happen due to an economic crisis in foreign parent company, then the company would have to cede temporarily investment capital to deal with emergent cash flow gap. In such circumstance of capital, this forced selling assets may lead to a shrinkage of investment return, even a loss. Policy return and customers¡¯ bonus would then be affected.

It was reported that the reason for AIG¡¯s financial trouble was the price falling of real estate and financial slowdown, not because of its major business - insurance; by contrast, those American insurance companies concentrating on insurance were not affected so seriously by financial crisis. Comprehensive domestic financial groups were in an increasing trend, among which Ping¡¯An have 7 financial organizations in different domains. Its investment has stretched to a few fields, including foreign financial market.

Foreign capital financial products have high risks

¡®¡¯By way of analogy, we choose foreign brands like BMW, VOLVO, NISSAN when buying a car. Even if these companies would have difficulty in operations, cars are still in the hands of customers. Financial products like insurance itself are a long-term, future promise, so it¡¯s easy to be influenced by operations of companies.¡¯¡¯  

Professor Hao Yansu thought, for domestic customers, there were more risks for buying financial products of foreign-capital corporations, and joint-ventures than buying that of Chinese-invested corporations. If domestic policy environment changed, Chinese-invested, foreign-capital and join venture insurance companies would face a fair situation; if there¡¯s economic friction between China and other countries, or other countries themselves have economic troubles, foreign capital, joint-venture insurance company would be involved, while influence on Chinese insurers would not be serious. He also said, the case of AIG would cause a chain of effects among foreign-capital corporations in China. Domestic consumers may lower their trust on foreign corporations to a certain extent; even the possibility of psychological repellence cannot be excluded. Development of these foreign-capitals, joint venture life insurance company in domestic market cannot be considered stable, the banking channel is the aorta of their business, at the moment personal business is facing challenge of credit image.  

But not all Chinese invested insurers are so lucky. It was known that AIG held 9.9% share of PICC, the 5-year lock-in period would be relieved in October 2008. On 18 September, HongKong share of PICC property fluctuated widely since previous bargain day, the highest fluctuation rate exceeded 11%, the lowest price that day was 2.86 HK¡ç.


 

 

 
 
 
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